Genk 0-3 Standard Liege — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 22 Feb 2026

📅22/02/2026 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.47
Draw
27%
4.08
Away
17%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.99
No
52%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.27
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
3.37
6+ Goals
10%
12.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.27 — our 30% vs market 24.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1.8
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
6%
17.0
X/1
18%
3.8
X/2
6%
12.65
X/X
15%
5.63
2/1
9%
23.5
2/2
7%
11.05
2/X
6%
19.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
64%
-8.0pp
27%
Draw
21%
+5.6pp
17%
Away Win
15%
+2.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
46%
+1.5pp
52%
BTTS No
54%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Genk EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Standard Liege EU Bookmakers 18%
+2% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +5%
2.12/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.79
-2% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -1%
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
415 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 71%
29.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
21.2 Crosses 13.6
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Genk
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Standard Liege
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.55 xG 0.99
66% Ball Possession 34%
17 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
478 Passes 219
84% Pass Accuracy 71%
28 Box Touches 15
21 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.08.2025 Standard Liege Standard Liege 2-1 HT 1-0 Genk Genk BEL
14.02.2025 Standard Liege Standard Liege 1-2 HT 0-1 Genk Genk BEL
04.12.2024 Genk Genk 2-1 HT 0-0 Standard Liege Standard Liege BEK
28.07.2024 Genk Genk 0-0 HT 0-0 Standard Liege Standard Liege BEL
10.03.2024 Genk Genk 1-0 HT 0-0 Standard Liege Standard Liege BEL
25.11.2023 Standard Liege Standard Liege 1-0 HT 0-0 Genk Genk BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Genk
0-3
AWAY Standard Liege
1.30 xG 0.99
71% Ball Possession 29%
20 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 5
574 Passes 176
88% Pass Accuracy 67%
22 Box Touches 19
35 Crosses 13
POST-MATCH Genk vs Standard Liege
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Standard Liege ran out comfortable winners over Genk 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Genk at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Genk had 71% of the ball to Standard Liege's 29%, shots finished 20-12, expected goals 1.30 to 0.99.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Genk had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Genk and 0.83 for Standard Liege.

What was the final score of Genk vs Standard Liege?

Genk 0-3 Standard Liege in the Belgium - Pro League on 22/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Genk vs Standard Liege?

Before kick-off our model rated a Genk win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Genk 56%, draw 27%, Standard Liege 17%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Genk) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Genk) ✓ BTTS No
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