Southern District RSA 2-1 Hong Kong FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - Premier League, 22 Feb 2026

📅22/02/2026 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.34
Draw
23%
4.81
Away
17%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
Over 2.5
49%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
25%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
15%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
70%
-9.6pp
22%
Draw
18%
+5.0pp
17%
Away Win
13%
+4.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.9pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Southern District RSA EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Hong Kong FC EU Bookmakers 16%
-14% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.86/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.63/2.69
-35% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +3%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
362 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Southern District RSA
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Hong Kong FC
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.10.2025 Hong Kong FC Hong Kong FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Southern District RSA Southern District RSA HK1
10.05.2025 Southern District RSA Southern District RSA 3-1 HT 3-1 Hong Kong FC Hong Kong FC HK1
02.03.2025 Hong Kong FC Hong Kong FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Southern District RSA Southern District RSA HONFK
22.12.2024 Hong Kong FC Hong Kong FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Southern District RSA Southern District RSA HK1
10.11.2024 Hong Kong FC Hong Kong FC 3-4 HT 2-3 Southern District RSA Southern District RSA HK1
06.04.2024 Southern District RSA Southern District RSA 3-0 Hong Kong FC Hong Kong FC HK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Southern District RSA
2-1
AWAY Hong Kong FC
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Southern District RSA vs Hong Kong FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Southern District RSA nicked a narrow win over Hong Kong FC 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Southern District RSA as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Southern District RSA had 55% of the ball to Hong Kong FC's 45%, shots finished 12-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Southern District RSA had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Southern District RSA and 1.17 for Hong Kong FC.

What was the final score of Southern District RSA vs Hong Kong FC?

Southern District RSA 2-1 Hong Kong FC in the Hong Kong - Premier League on 22/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Southern District RSA vs Hong Kong FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Southern District RSA win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Southern District RSA 60%, draw 22%, Hong Kong FC 17%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Southern District RSA), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Southern District RSA) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →