Ikorodu City 1-1 Bayelsa United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 22 Feb 2026

📅22/02/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.37
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
8%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.59
Over 2.5
35%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.81
No
58%
1.38
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
2%
1/X
6%
X/1
26%
X/2
3%
X/X
14%
2/1
12%
2/2
3%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
68%
-2.6pp
26%
Draw
21%
+4.7pp
8%
Away Win
11%
-2.2pp
65%
Under 2.5
59%
+5.9pp
35%
Over 2.5
41%
-5.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
32%
+10.4pp
58%
BTTS No
68%
-10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ikorodu City EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayelsa United EU Bookmakers 14%
+8% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +25%
1.91/0.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.61/1.17
+23% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +27%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
419 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ikorodu City
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Bayelsa United
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
05.10.2025 Bayelsa United Bayelsa United 1-1 HT 1-0 Ikorodu City Ikorodu City NIJ
08.12.2024 Bayelsa United Bayelsa United 1-0 HT 0-0 Ikorodu City Ikorodu City NIJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ikorodu City
1-1
AWAY Bayelsa United
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 7
POST-MATCH Ikorodu City vs Bayelsa United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ikorodu City and Bayelsa United shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Ikorodu City at 66% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, under 2.5 goals (65%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Ikorodu City had 61% of the ball to Bayelsa United's 39%, shots finished 14-14.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Bayelsa United led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Ikorodu City and 1.00 for Bayelsa United.

What was the final score of Ikorodu City vs Bayelsa United?

Ikorodu City 1-1 Bayelsa United in the Nigeria NPFL on 22/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ikorodu City vs Bayelsa United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ikorodu City win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Ikorodu City 66%, draw 26%, Bayelsa United 8%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Ikorodu City), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ikorodu City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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