Nasarawa United 1-0 Bendel Insurance — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 22 Feb 2026

📅22/02/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.75
Draw
33%
3.11
Away
19%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
Over 2.5
37%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.53
No
54%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
21%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
53%
-5.4pp
33%
Draw
29%
+4.1pp
19%
Away Win
18%
+1.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
36%
+10.4pp
54%
BTTS No
64%
-10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nasarawa United EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Bendel Insurance EU Bookmakers 21%
+2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +11%
1.34/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.28
-2% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +4%
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
340 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 183 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nasarawa United
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Bendel Insurance
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
04.10.2025 Bendel Insurance Bendel Insurance 0-1 HT 0-0 Nasarawa United Nasarawa United NIJ
20.04.2025 Bendel Insurance Bendel Insurance 1-1 HT 0-1 Nasarawa United Nasarawa United NIJ
27.11.2024 Nasarawa United Nasarawa United 2-1 HT 1-1 Bendel Insurance Bendel Insurance NIJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nasarawa United
1-0
AWAY Bendel Insurance
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 0
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Nasarawa United vs Bendel Insurance
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nasarawa United edged past Bendel Insurance 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Nasarawa United as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%) came in.

On the day, Nasarawa United had 57% of the ball to Bendel Insurance's 43%, shots finished 15-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Nasarawa United had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Nasarawa United and 0.67 for Bendel Insurance.

What was the final score of Nasarawa United vs Bendel Insurance?

Nasarawa United 1-0 Bendel Insurance in the Nigeria NPFL on 22/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nasarawa United vs Bendel Insurance?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nasarawa United win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Nasarawa United 48%, draw 33%, Bendel Insurance 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nasarawa United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nasarawa United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
NIJ More Nigeria NPFL
22 Feb 2026
18:00 Rivers United vs Enyimba Analysis →
18:00 Plateau United vs Shooting Stars Analysis →
18:00 Ikorodu City vs Bayelsa United Analysis →
18:00 Kun Khalifat vs Niger Tornadoes Analysis →