Plateau United 4-1 Shooting Stars — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 22 Feb 2026

📅22/02/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.64
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
18%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.51
Over 2.5
35%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.4
No
59%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
57%
-4.2pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.6pp
18%
Away Win
16%
+1.7pp
65%
Under 2.5
62%
+3.0pp
35%
Over 2.5
38%
-3.0pp
41%
BTTS Yes
38%
+3.2pp
59%
BTTS No
62%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Plateau United EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Shooting Stars EU Bookmakers 19%
+7% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -5%
1.29/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.57/1.26
-6% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
370 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Plateau United
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Shooting Stars
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
43% Ball Possession 57%
6 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 0
05.10.2025 Shooting Stars Shooting Stars 1-0 HT 0-0 Plateau United Plateau United NIJ
02.02.2025 Plateau United Plateau United 1-1 HT 0-0 Shooting Stars Shooting Stars NIJ
15.09.2024 Shooting Stars Shooting Stars 1-1 HT 1-1 Plateau United Plateau United NIJ
30.09.2023 Shooting Stars Shooting Stars 2-1 HT 1-0 Plateau United Plateau United NIJ
16.02.2022 Plateau United Plateau United 3-1 HT 1-1 Shooting Stars Shooting Stars NIJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Plateau United
4-1
AWAY Shooting Stars
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Plateau United vs Shooting Stars
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Plateau United cruised past Shooting Stars 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Plateau United as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Plateau United had 44% of the ball to Shooting Stars's 56%, shots finished 12-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Shooting Stars led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Plateau United and 1.20 for Shooting Stars.

What was the final score of Plateau United vs Shooting Stars?

Plateau United 4-1 Shooting Stars in the Nigeria NPFL on 22/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Plateau United vs Shooting Stars?

Before kick-off our model rated a Plateau United win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Plateau United 53%, draw 29%, Shooting Stars 18%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Plateau United) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Plateau United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
NIJ More Nigeria NPFL
22 Feb 2026
18:00 Rivers United vs Enyimba Analysis →
18:00 Ikorodu City vs Bayelsa United Analysis →
18:00 Nasarawa United vs Bendel Insurance Analysis →
18:00 Kun Khalifat vs Niger Tornadoes Analysis →