Estoril vs Gil Vicente Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Estoril v Gil Vicente — Team-Based Signals
Estoril vs Gil Vicente Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
5-3
HT 3-0
Estoril
POR
1-0
HT 1-0
Gil Vicente
POR
Estoril 3-1 Gil Vicente — Actual Match Statistics
Estoril beat Gil Vicente 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 21% / 41% — and on the day Estoril made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (58%) came in.
On the day, Estoril had 48% of the ball to Gil Vicente's 52%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 2.60 to 2.62.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gil Vicente led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Estoril and 1.83 for Gil Vicente.
What was the final score of Estoril vs Gil Vicente?
Estoril 3-1 Gil Vicente in the Portugal - Premier League on 22/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Estoril vs Gil Vicente?
Before kick-off our model rated an Gil Vicente win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Estoril 38%, draw 21%, Gil Vicente 41%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Gil Vicente) went the other way.