Backa Topola 1-1 Cukaricki Stankom — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 22 Feb 2026

📅22/02/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.18
Draw
21%
3.28
Away
34%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
42%
+3.1pp
21%
Draw
27%
-5.9pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+2.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.4pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Backa Topola EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Cukaricki Stankom EU Bookmakers 34%
-6% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -13%
1.41/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.22
-6% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -27%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
279 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 74%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
22.1 Crosses 19.4
3.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Backa Topola
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Cukaricki Stankom
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.18 xG 1.17
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
376 Passes 251
80% Pass Accuracy 74%
16 Box Touches 17
16 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
21.09.2025 Cukaricki Stankom Cukaricki Stankom 4-2 HT 2-1 Backa Topola Backa Topola SIRP
27.02.2025 Backa Topola Backa Topola 2-1 HT 1-0 Cukaricki Stankom Cukaricki Stankom SIRP
28.09.2024 Cukaricki Stankom Cukaricki Stankom 1-2 HT 1-1 Backa Topola Backa Topola SIRP
12.05.2024 Backa Topola Backa Topola 2-0 HT 2-0 Cukaricki Stankom Cukaricki Stankom SIRP
06.04.2024 Backa Topola Backa Topola 0-0 HT 0-0 Cukaricki Stankom Cukaricki Stankom SIRP
05.11.2023 Cukaricki Stankom Cukaricki Stankom 0-2 HT 0-1 Backa Topola Backa Topola SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Backa Topola
1-1
AWAY Cukaricki Stankom
1.52 xG 0.51
49% Ball Possession 51%
22 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 2
242 Passes 258
74% Pass Accuracy 77%
27 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 23
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Backa Topola vs Cukaricki Stankom
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Backa Topola and Cukaricki Stankom couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Backa Topola at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Backa Topola had 49% of the ball to Cukaricki Stankom's 51%, shots finished 22-8, expected goals 1.52 to 0.51.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Backa Topola had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Backa Topola and 1.00 for Cukaricki Stankom.

What was the final score of Backa Topola vs Cukaricki Stankom?

Backa Topola 1-1 Cukaricki Stankom in the Serbia - Super League on 22/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Backa Topola vs Cukaricki Stankom?

Before kick-off our model rated a Backa Topola win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Backa Topola 45%, draw 21%, Cukaricki Stankom 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Backa Topola), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Backa Topola) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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