Hartlepool United 4-1 Boston United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 22 Mar 2025

Hartlepool United
4-1 HT 2-1
Boston United
📅22/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
England - National League – 2025/2026

Hartlepool United vs Boston United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
28%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.75
Over 2.5
46%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.79
2-3 Goals
41%
1.72
4-5 Goals
21%
3.74
6+ Goals
8%
16.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.79 — our 30% vs market 28.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.16
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.6
X/1
15%
4.87
X/2
9%
6.35
X/X
12%
4.46
2/1
10%
27.0
2/2
13%
4.75
2/X
8%
14.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Under 2.5 — 54% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
43%
+0.5pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.6pp
28%
Away Win
30%
-2.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
53%
+1.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
47%
-1.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.2pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hartlepool United v Boston United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hartlepool United EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Boston United EU Bookmakers 34%
-5% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +29% / +29%
1.26/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/0.50
-17% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +150%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
244 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 138 · 65%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.6

Hartlepool United vs Boston United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hartlepool United
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Boston United
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
10.09.2024 Boston United Boston United 1-2 HT 1-0 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United İBSL
24.02.2007 Boston United Boston United 0-1 HT 0-0 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United İN2
01.09.2006 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United 2-1 HT 1-0 Boston United Boston United İN2
19.01.2005 Boston United Boston United 0-1 HT 0-0 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United FAK
08.01.2005 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United 0-0 HT 0-0 Boston United Boston United FAK
04.01.2003 Boston United Boston United 0-1 HT 0-0 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United İN2
POST-MATCH Hartlepool United vs Boston United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hartlepool United swept aside Boston United 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Hartlepool United as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hartlepool United had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Hartlepool United and 0.33 for Boston United.

What was the final score of Hartlepool United vs Boston United?

Hartlepool United 4-1 Boston United in the England - National League on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hartlepool United vs Boston United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hartlepool United win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Hartlepool United 43%, draw 28%, Boston United 28%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hartlepool United) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hartlepool United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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