Inverness CT 1-1 Alloa Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 22 Mar 2025

📅22/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
31%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.86
Over 2.5
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.82
No
47%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.11
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
3.4
6+ Goals
8%
13.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.11 — our 28% vs market 25.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
53%
-11.3pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.4pp
31%
Away Win
22%
+8.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+2.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-2.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.3pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Inverness CT EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Alloa Athletic EU Bookmakers 25%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +11%
0.91/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.71
-51% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / -5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
354 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
2.5 Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Inverness CT
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Alloa Athletic
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
11 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 4
25.01.2025 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 1-2 HT 0-1 Inverness CT Inverness CT İK1
16.11.2024 Inverness CT Inverness CT 1-0 HT 0-0 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İK1
14.09.2024 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 2-2 HT 0-1 Inverness CT Inverness CT İK1
06.03.2021 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 1-1 HT 1-1 Inverness CT Inverness CT İKCL
23.02.2021 Inverness CT Inverness CT 2-2 HT 0-1 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İKCL
19.12.2020 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 2-1 HT 0-1 Inverness CT Inverness CT İKCL
POST-MATCH Inverness CT vs Alloa Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inverness CT and Alloa Athletic couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Inverness CT at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Inverness CT had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Inverness CT and 1.33 for Alloa Athletic.

What was the final score of Inverness CT vs Alloa Athletic?

Inverness CT 1-1 Alloa Athletic in the Scotland - 1st Division on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Inverness CT vs Alloa Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Inverness CT win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Inverness CT 42%, draw 27%, Alloa Athletic 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Inverness CT) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Inverness CT) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İK1 More Scotland - 1st Division
22 Mar 2025
18:00 Montrose vs Annan Athletic Analysis →
18:00 Kelty Hearts vs Arbroath Analysis →
18:00 Dumbarton vs Queen Of The South Analysis →
20:30 Cove Rangers vs Stenhousemuir Analysis →