Inverness CT 1-0 Alloa Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 16 Nov 2024

📅16/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.0
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
31%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.8
Over 2.5
44%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.16
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
3.79
6+ Goals
9%
16.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.16 — our 28% vs market 26.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
46%
-7.3pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.6pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+3.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.6pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Inverness CT EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Alloa Athletic EU Bookmakers 31%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +14%
1.00/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.56
-37% / +49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / +0%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
324 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
2.0 Crosses 11.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Inverness CT
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Alloa Athletic
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
57% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 3
14.09.2024 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 2-2 HT 0-1 Inverness CT Inverness CT İK1
06.03.2021 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 1-1 HT 1-1 Inverness CT Inverness CT İKCL
23.02.2021 Inverness CT Inverness CT 2-2 HT 0-1 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İKCL
19.12.2020 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 2-1 HT 0-1 Inverness CT Inverness CT İKCL
07.03.2020 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 2-0 HT 2-0 Inverness CT Inverness CT İKCL
01.02.2020 Inverness CT Inverness CT 1-1 HT 0-1 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İKCL
POST-MATCH Inverness CT vs Alloa Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inverness CT nicked a narrow win over Alloa Athletic 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 29% / 31% — and on the day Inverness CT made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alloa Athletic led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Inverness CT and 1.67 for Alloa Athletic.

What was the final score of Inverness CT vs Alloa Athletic?

Inverness CT 1-0 Alloa Athletic in the Scotland - 1st Division on 16/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Inverness CT vs Alloa Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Inverness CT win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Inverness CT 39%, draw 29%, Alloa Athletic 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Inverness CT), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Inverness CT) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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