Arbroath 2-1 Cove Rangers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 16 Nov 2024

📅16/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
1.9
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
37%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.9
Over 2.5
46%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.75
No
57%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.39
2-3 Goals
46%
1.81
4-5 Goals
17%
3.57
6+ Goals
9%
14.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.39 — our 28% vs market 24.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
48%
-14.1pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.0pp
37%
Away Win
25%
+12.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
49%
+5.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
51%
-5.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
53%
-10.1pp
57%
BTTS No
47%
+10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arbroath EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Cove Rangers EU Bookmakers 29%
-14% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
0.80/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.11
-51% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +43%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
301 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 3.0
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arbroath
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Cove Rangers
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
1 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
28.09.2024 Cove Rangers Cove Rangers 2-4 HT 2-2 Arbroath Arbroath İK1
22.04.2023 Arbroath Arbroath 0-1 HT 0-0 Cove Rangers Cove Rangers İKCL
18.02.2023 Cove Rangers Cove Rangers 1-1 HT 0-0 Arbroath Arbroath İKCL
12.11.2022 Arbroath Arbroath 1-1 HT 1-0 Cove Rangers Cove Rangers İKCL
01.10.2022 Cove Rangers Cove Rangers 2-0 HT 2-0 Arbroath Arbroath İKCL
POST-MATCH Arbroath vs Cove Rangers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arbroath squeezed past Cove Rangers 2-1.

Our pre-match split (34% / 28% / 37%) promised a tight game; Arbroath found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Cove Rangers led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Arbroath and 1.40 for Cove Rangers.

What was the final score of Arbroath vs Cove Rangers?

Arbroath 2-1 Cove Rangers in the Scotland - 1st Division on 16/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arbroath vs Cove Rangers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cove Rangers win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Arbroath 34%, draw 28%, Cove Rangers 37%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Cove Rangers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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