Annan Athletic 0-2 Kelty Hearts — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 16 Nov 2024

📅16/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.47
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
36%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.91
Over 2.5
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.66
No
53%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.54
2-3 Goals
36%
1.82
4-5 Goals
24%
3.45
6+ Goals
11%
12.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.54 — our 29% vs market 23.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
37%
+3.7pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.2pp
36%
Away Win
37%
-0.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-9.0pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Annan Athletic EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Kelty Hearts EU Bookmakers 40%
+13% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -31% / -31%
1.42/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/2.66
-6% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / -46%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
307 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
3.0 Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Annan Athletic
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Kelty Hearts
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
50% Ball Possession 50%
6 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
2 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 1
28.09.2024 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts 3-0 HT 2-0 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic İK1
23.03.2024 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic 3-2 HT 3-1 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İK1
13.01.2024 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts 1-1 HT 1-0 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic İK1
04.11.2023 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic 2-2 HT 1-1 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İK1
02.09.2023 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts 1-1 HT 0-0 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic İK1
23.09.2022 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic 1-2 HT 0-0 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İKCK
POST-MATCH Annan Athletic vs Kelty Hearts
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kelty Hearts saw off Annan Athletic 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (40% / 23% / 36%) promised a tight game; Kelty Hearts found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kelty Hearts led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Annan Athletic and 1.83 for Kelty Hearts.

What was the final score of Annan Athletic vs Kelty Hearts?

Annan Athletic 0-2 Kelty Hearts in the Scotland - 1st Division on 16/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Annan Athletic vs Kelty Hearts?

Before kick-off our model rated a Annan Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Annan Athletic 40%, draw 23%, Kelty Hearts 36%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Annan Athletic) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Annan Athletic) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İK1 More Scotland - 1st Division
16 Nov 2024
18:00 Arbroath vs Cove Rangers Analysis →
18:00 Stenhousemuir vs Montrose Analysis →
18:00 Inverness CT vs Alloa Athletic Analysis →
18:00 Dumbarton vs Queen Of The South Analysis →