Dumbarton 2-1 Queen Of The South — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 16 Nov 2024

📅16/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.19
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
33%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
2.03
Over 2.5
40%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.6
No
54%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.94
2-3 Goals
40%
1.86
4-5 Goals
18%
3.2
6+ Goals
9%
10.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.94 — our 33% vs market 20.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-3.3pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.7pp
33%
Away Win
33%
-0.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
45%
+14.8pp
40%
Over 2.5
55%
-14.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
58%
-12.6pp
54%
BTTS No
42%
+12.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dumbarton EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Queen Of The South EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -16%
1.85/1.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.63/1.21
+17% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -56% / +23%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
359 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dumbarton
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Queen Of The South
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
3 Crosses 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
28.09.2024 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South 2-0 HT 1-0 Dumbarton Dumbarton İK1
16.07.2024 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South 2-0 HT 1-0 Dumbarton Dumbarton İKLK
20.07.2019 Dumbarton Dumbarton 1-4 HT 1-4 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South İKLK
10.03.2018 Dumbarton Dumbarton 0-1 HT 0-0 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South İKCL
02.01.2018 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South 0-0 HT 0-0 Dumbarton Dumbarton İKCL
28.11.2017 Dumbarton Dumbarton 2-2 HT 1-0 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South İKCL
POST-MATCH Dumbarton vs Queen Of The South
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dumbarton edged past Queen Of The South 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 29% / 33%) promised a tight game; Dumbarton found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Queen Of The South led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Dumbarton and 1.83 for Queen Of The South.

What was the final score of Dumbarton vs Queen Of The South?

Dumbarton 2-1 Queen Of The South in the Scotland - 1st Division on 16/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dumbarton vs Queen Of The South?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dumbarton win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Dumbarton 38%, draw 29%, Queen Of The South 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dumbarton) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dumbarton) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İK1 More Scotland - 1st Division
16 Nov 2024
18:00 Arbroath vs Cove Rangers Analysis →
18:00 Annan Athletic vs Kelty Hearts Analysis →
18:00 Stenhousemuir vs Montrose Analysis →
18:00 Inverness CT vs Alloa Athletic Analysis →