Stenhousemuir 1-0 Montrose — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 16 Nov 2024

📅16/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.12
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
33%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.75
Over 2.5
42%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.81
No
56%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
35%
2.97
2-3 Goals
36%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
4.02
6+ Goals
9%
18.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.97 — our 35% vs market 28.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
43%
-5.1pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.7pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+3.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
53%
+4.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
47%
-4.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-7.6pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stenhousemuir EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Montrose EU Bookmakers 33%
-3% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +10%
1.85/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.19
+18% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +34%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
349 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 0.0
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stenhousemuir
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Montrose
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 8
14.09.2024 Montrose Montrose 3-0 HT 2-0 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK1
19.07.2022 Montrose Montrose 0-2 HT 0-0 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İKLK
23.03.2019 Montrose Montrose 2-0 HT 1-0 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK1
09.02.2019 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 1-0 HT 0-0 Montrose Montrose İK1
22.12.2018 Montrose Montrose 3-1 HT 2-0 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK1
06.10.2018 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 3-2 HT 1-1 Montrose Montrose İK1
POST-MATCH Stenhousemuir vs Montrose
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stenhousemuir squeezed past Montrose 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 29% / 33%) promised a tight game; Stenhousemuir found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Stenhousemuir and 1.67 for Montrose.

What was the final score of Stenhousemuir vs Montrose?

Stenhousemuir 1-0 Montrose in the Scotland - 1st Division on 16/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stenhousemuir vs Montrose?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stenhousemuir win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Stenhousemuir 38%, draw 29%, Montrose 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stenhousemuir), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Stenhousemuir) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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