Gainsborough Trinity 0-1 United of Manchester — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 22 Mar 2025

📅22/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.96
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
29%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.0
Over 2.5
44%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.66
No
54%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
47%
-4.3pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.1pp
29%
Away Win
29%
+0.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
46%
+10.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
54%
-10.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
56%
-9.9pp
54%
BTTS No
44%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gainsborough Trinity EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY United of Manchester EU Bookmakers 32%
-5% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +18%
1.33/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.32
-18% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +17%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
303 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gainsborough Trinity
2W-1D-3L
AWAY United of Manchester
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
43% Ball Possession 57%
6 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
14.01.2025 United of Manchester United of Manchester 1-1 HT 0-1 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity İNGNLP
03.02.2024 United of Manchester United of Manchester 2-0 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity İNGNLP
02.12.2023 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity 1-3 HT 0-1 United of Manchester United of Manchester İNGNLP
22.04.2023 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity 1-2 HT 1-1 United of Manchester United of Manchester İNGNLP
19.11.2022 United of Manchester United of Manchester 1-3 HT 0-1 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity İNGNLP
12.02.2022 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity 3-2 HT 2-1 United of Manchester United of Manchester İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gainsborough Trinity
0-1
AWAY United of Manchester
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Gainsborough Trinity vs United of Manchester
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

United of Manchester nicked a narrow win over Gainsborough Trinity 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Gainsborough Trinity at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Gainsborough Trinity had 53% of the ball to United of Manchester's 47%, shots finished 14-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, United of Manchester led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Gainsborough Trinity and 1.83 for United of Manchester.

What was the final score of Gainsborough Trinity vs United of Manchester?

Gainsborough Trinity 0-1 United of Manchester in the England - Non League Premier on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gainsborough Trinity vs United of Manchester?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gainsborough Trinity win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Gainsborough Trinity 43%, draw 28%, United of Manchester 29%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Gainsborough Trinity) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gainsborough Trinity) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNGNLP More England - Non League Premier
22 Mar 2025
18:00 Leek Town vs Ashton United Analysis →
18:00 Royston Town vs Stourbridge Analysis →
18:00 Stratford Town vs Biggleswade Town Analysis →
18:00 Bracknell Town vs Gosport Borough Analysis →
18:00 Kettering Town vs AFC Telford United Analysis →
18:00 Bedford Town vs Stamford Analysis →