Tiverton Town 1-0 Swindon Supermarine — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 22 Mar 2025

📅22/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.47
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
43%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.21
Over 2.5
47%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.49
No
53%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
17%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS No — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
37%
-8.2pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.1pp
43%
Away Win
39%
+4.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
41%
+11.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
59%
-11.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
63%
-16.6pp
54%
BTTS No
37%
+16.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tiverton Town EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Swindon Supermarine EU Bookmakers 43%
-8% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -3%
1.32/1.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.71/1.76
-9% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -18%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
284 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 0.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tiverton Town
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Swindon Supermarine
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
12.10.2024 Swindon Supermarine Swindon Supermarine 4-0 HT 3-0 Tiverton Town Tiverton Town İNGNLP
02.03.2024 Swindon Supermarine Swindon Supermarine 2-2 Tiverton Town Tiverton Town İNGNLP
07.10.2023 Swindon Supermarine Swindon Supermarine 3-1 Tiverton Town Tiverton Town FAK
30.09.2023 Tiverton Town Tiverton Town 1-1 HT 0-1 Swindon Supermarine Swindon Supermarine İNGNLP
18.03.2023 Swindon Supermarine Swindon Supermarine 3-3 HT 2-2 Tiverton Town Tiverton Town İNGNLP
15.10.2022 Tiverton Town Tiverton Town 1-3 HT 0-1 Swindon Supermarine Swindon Supermarine İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Tiverton Town vs Swindon Supermarine
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tiverton Town edged past Swindon Supermarine 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Swindon Supermarine at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Swindon Supermarine led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Tiverton Town and 2.67 for Swindon Supermarine.

What was the final score of Tiverton Town vs Swindon Supermarine?

Tiverton Town 1-0 Swindon Supermarine in the England - Non League Premier on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tiverton Town vs Swindon Supermarine?

Before kick-off our model rated an Swindon Supermarine win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Tiverton Town 28%, draw 29%, Swindon Supermarine 43%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Swindon Supermarine) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Swindon Supermarine) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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