Canberra United (K) 0-1 Sydney (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 22 Mar 2025

📅22/03/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.17
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
41%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.82
Over 2.5
45%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
3%
X/1
4%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
19%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
28%
-0.0pp
31%
Draw
26%
+4.6pp
41%
Away Win
45%
-4.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
51%
+3.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
49%
-3.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.7pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Canberra United (K) EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Sydney (K) EU Bookmakers 49%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -29% / -29%
1.10/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.17
+18% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -68% / +54%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
270 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 73%
19.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
12.4 Crosses 10.4
0.9 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Canberra United (K)
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Sydney (K)
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
1.00 xG 1.61
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
249 Passes 268
69% Pass Accuracy 71%
20 Box Touches 30
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.01.2025 Sydney (K) Sydney (K) 2-0 HT 2-0 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) AVUSTW
27.03.2024 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 Sydney (K) Sydney (K) AVUSTW
03.01.2024 Sydney (K) Sydney (K) 1-1 HT 1-1 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) AVUSTW
02.12.2018 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) 2-0 HT 1-0 Sydney (K) Sydney (K) AVUSTW
15.12.2017 Sydney (K) Sydney (K) 3-0 HT 2-0 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) AVUSTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Canberra United (K)
0-1
AWAY Sydney (K)
1.09 xG 0.85
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 7
288 Passes 201
69% Pass Accuracy 62%
25 Box Touches 24
13 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Canberra United (K) vs Sydney (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sydney (K) edged past Canberra United (K) 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sydney (K) as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Canberra United (K) had 56% of the ball to Sydney (K)'s 44%, shots finished 11-15, expected goals 1.09 to 0.85.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Canberra United (K) and 1.20 for Sydney (K).

What was the final score of Canberra United (K) vs Sydney (K)?

Canberra United (K) 0-1 Sydney (K) in the Australia - W-League on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Canberra United (K) vs Sydney (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sydney (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Canberra United (K) 28%, draw 31%, Sydney (K) 41%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sydney (K)), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sydney (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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