VVV-Venlo 2-2 FC Eindhoven — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 22 Mar 2025

📅22/03/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.47
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
40%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.66
No
52%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.28
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
3.25
6+ Goals
11%
12.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.28 — our 26% vs market 23.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.82
1/2
7%
27.5
1/X
7%
12.6
X/1
8%
5.86
X/2
17%
5.71
X/X
12%
4.67
2/1
7%
28.0
2/2
16%
3.67
2/X
6%
12.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS No — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-1.5pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.9pp
40%
Away Win
36%
+3.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.7pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME VVV-Venlo EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Eindhoven EU Bookmakers 40%
-2% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +17%
1.28/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/0.93
-22% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +32%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
352 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 77%
22.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.2
22.7 Crosses 19.2
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME VVV-Venlo
3W-2D-1L
AWAY FC Eindhoven
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.78 xG 0.88
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
357 Passes 348
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
13.12.2024 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 1-3 HT 1-1 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo HOL2
23.02.2024 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 2-2 HT 1-0 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2
10.11.2023 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 0-2 HT 0-1 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo HOL2
14.04.2023 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 2-2 HT 0-1 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2
16.12.2022 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 0-2 HT 0-0 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo HOL2
11.03.2022 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 4-0 HT 2-0 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME VVV-Venlo
2-2
AWAY FC Eindhoven
1.34 xG 0.56
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
290 Passes 279
74% Pass Accuracy 75%
21 Box Touches 12
15 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH VVV-Venlo vs FC Eindhoven
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

VVV-Venlo and FC Eindhoven shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (35% / 25% / 40%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, VVV-Venlo had 51% of the ball to FC Eindhoven's 49%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 1.34 to 0.56.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, VVV-Venlo had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for VVV-Venlo and 1.50 for FC Eindhoven.

What was the final score of VVV-Venlo vs FC Eindhoven?

VVV-Venlo 2-2 FC Eindhoven in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for VVV-Venlo vs FC Eindhoven?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Eindhoven win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split VVV-Venlo 35%, draw 25%, FC Eindhoven 40%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (FC Eindhoven) ✗ BTTS No
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