Newington Youth 2-0 Harland & Wolff Welders — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 22 Mar 2025

📅22/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.29
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
47%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.15
Over 2.5
49%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.66
No
52%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.81
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
25%
2.94
6+ Goals
9%
9.24
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.81 — our 26% vs market 19.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
25%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
27%
+2.6pp
24%
Draw
21%
+2.5pp
47%
Away Win
52%
-5.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
43%
+8.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
57%
-8.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.4pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newington Youth EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Harland & Wolff Welders EU Bookmakers 56%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
0.77/1.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.85/0.67
-41% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +101%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
318 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Newington Youth
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Harland & Wolff Welders
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
14.12.2024 Harland & Wolff Welders Harland & Wolff Welders 1-0 Newington Youth Newington Youth KİRL1
27.01.2024 Harland & Wolff Welders Harland & Wolff Welders 3-1 HT 3-1 Newington Youth Newington Youth KİRL1
22.12.2023 Harland & Wolff Welders Harland & Wolff Welders 2-2 HT 0-0 Newington Youth Newington Youth KİRL1
12.08.2023 Newington Youth Newington Youth 0-2 HT 0-1 Harland & Wolff Welders Harland & Wolff Welders KİRL1
15.04.2023 Harland & Wolff Welders Harland & Wolff Welders 5-4 HT 2-3 Newington Youth Newington Youth KİRL1
16.12.2022 Newington Youth Newington Youth 2-1 Harland & Wolff Welders Harland & Wolff Welders KİRL1
POST-MATCH Newington Youth vs Harland & Wolff Welders
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newington Youth got the better of Harland & Wolff Welders 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Harland & Wolff Welders at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Harland & Wolff Welders led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Newington Youth and 2.33 for Harland & Wolff Welders.

What was the final score of Newington Youth vs Harland & Wolff Welders?

Newington Youth 2-0 Harland & Wolff Welders in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newington Youth vs Harland & Wolff Welders?

Before kick-off our model rated an Harland & Wolff Welders win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Newington Youth 29%, draw 24%, Harland & Wolff Welders 47%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Harland & Wolff Welders) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Harland & Wolff Welders) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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