Krka 2-0 Aluminij — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 22 Mar 2025

📅22/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.99
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
37%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.62
Over 2.5
40%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.95
No
55%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
30%
+2.1pp
31%
Draw
28%
+3.5pp
37%
Away Win
42%
-5.6pp
60%
Under 2.5
58%
+2.6pp
40%
Over 2.5
42%
-2.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.1pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Krka EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Aluminij EU Bookmakers 46%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.25/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/0.79
+1% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +43%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
270 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Krka
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Aluminij
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
06.09.2024 Aluminij Aluminij 2-1 HT 1-1 Krka Krka SLVN2
04.11.2022 Aluminij Aluminij 0-0 HT 0-0 Krka Krka SLVN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Krka
2-0
AWAY Aluminij
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 11
2 Corners 13
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Krka vs Aluminij
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Krka got the better of Aluminij 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (32% / 31% / 37%) promised a tight game; Krka found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Krka had 44% of the ball to Aluminij's 56%, shots finished 8-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Aluminij led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Krka and 1.00 for Aluminij.

What was the final score of Krka vs Aluminij?

Krka 2-0 Aluminij in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Krka vs Aluminij?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aluminij win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Krka 32%, draw 31%, Aluminij 37%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Aluminij) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aluminij) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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