Tolmin 0-5 Dravinja — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 22 Mar 2025

📅22/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.29
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
47%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.64
Over 2.5
38%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.95
No
59%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
24%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
27%
+1.1pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.8pp
47%
Away Win
46%
+1.6pp
62%
Under 2.5
57%
+4.9pp
38%
Over 2.5
43%
-4.9pp
41%
BTTS Yes
47%
-5.8pp
59%
BTTS No
53%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tolmin EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Dravinja EU Bookmakers 49%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.20/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.77/0.84
+15% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +33%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
190 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
6.0 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tolmin
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Dravinja
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 1
07.09.2024 Dravinja Dravinja 4-1 HT 3-1 Tolmin Tolmin SLVN2
19.04.2024 Tolmin Tolmin 1-1 HT 1-0 Dravinja Dravinja SLVN2
01.10.2023 Dravinja Dravinja 1-1 HT 0-1 Tolmin Tolmin SLVN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tolmin
0-5
AWAY Dravinja
46% Ball Possession 54%
5 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Tolmin vs Dravinja
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dravinja cruised past Tolmin 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Dravinja as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (59%) landed while under 2.5 goals (62%) missed.

On the day, Tolmin had 46% of the ball to Dravinja's 54%, shots finished 5-15.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Dravinja led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Tolmin and 2.00 for Dravinja.

What was the final score of Tolmin vs Dravinja?

Tolmin 0-5 Dravinja in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tolmin vs Dravinja?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dravinja win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Tolmin 28%, draw 24%, Dravinja 47%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dravinja), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dravinja) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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