Triglav 5-0 Rudar Velenje — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 22 Mar 2025

📅22/03/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.57
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
24%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.75
Over 2.5
52%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.06
No
53%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
60%
-8.9pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.5pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+6.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
53%
-5.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
47%
+5.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.0pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Triglav EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Rudar Velenje EU Bookmakers 21%
+2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +5%
1.79/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.74
+3% / +65% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
305 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Triglav
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Rudar Velenje
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
06.09.2024 Rudar Velenje Rudar Velenje 2-2 HT 2-1 Triglav Triglav SLVN2
30.09.2023 Rudar Velenje Rudar Velenje 0-2 HT 0-2 Triglav Triglav SLVN2
14.04.2023 Triglav Triglav 1-2 HT 1-1 Rudar Velenje Rudar Velenje SLVN2
02.10.2022 Rudar Velenje Rudar Velenje 0-2 HT 0-1 Triglav Triglav SLVN2
15.04.2022 Triglav Triglav 2-0 HT 1-0 Rudar Velenje Rudar Velenje SLVN2
26.06.2020 Rudar Velenje Rudar Velenje 0-1 HT 0-1 Triglav Triglav SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Triglav
5-0
AWAY Rudar Velenje
56% Ball Possession 44%
20 Total Shots 8
12 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Triglav vs Rudar Velenje
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Triglav ran out comfortable winners over Rudar Velenje 5-0. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Triglav as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Triglav had 56% of the ball to Rudar Velenje's 44%, shots finished 20-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Triglav had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Triglav and 0.67 for Rudar Velenje.

What was the final score of Triglav vs Rudar Velenje?

Triglav 5-0 Rudar Velenje in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Triglav vs Rudar Velenje?

Before kick-off our model rated a Triglav win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Triglav 51%, draw 25%, Rudar Velenje 24%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Triglav), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Triglav) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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