Mjallby 3-0 GAIS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Cup, 22 Mar 2026

Mjallby
3-0 HT 2-0
GAIS
📅22/03/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.86
Draw
19%
3.45
Away
23%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.75
Over 2.5
54%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.8
2-3 Goals
41%
1.7
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
3.69
6+ Goals
9%
16.35
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.69 — our 25% vs market 20.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
26%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
50%
+8.2pp
19%
Draw
26%
-6.8pp
23%
Away Win
24%
-1.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
53%
-7.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
47%
+7.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.6pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mjallby EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY GAIS EU Bookmakers 27%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +39% / +39%
1.83/0.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/0.11
+2% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +150%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
317 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mjallby
3W-2D-1L
AWAY GAIS
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.66 xG 1.21
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
377 Passes 314
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
25 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 2
25.08.2025 GAIS GAIS 0-2 HT 0-0 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ
06.04.2025 Mjallby Mjallby 1-1 HT 0-0 GAIS GAIS İSÇ
26.10.2024 Mjallby Mjallby 1-1 HT 0-0 GAIS GAIS İSÇ
21.04.2024 GAIS GAIS 2-1 HT 0-0 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ
11.08.2019 GAIS GAIS 1-2 HT 0-0 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ2
26.05.2019 Mjallby Mjallby 2-0 HT 1-0 GAIS GAIS İSÇ2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mjallby
3-0
AWAY GAIS
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Mjallby vs GAIS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mjallby ran out comfortable winners over GAIS 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Mjallby as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Mjallby had 58% of the ball to GAIS's 42%, shots finished 13-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mjallby had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Mjallby and 0.83 for GAIS.

What was the final score of Mjallby vs GAIS?

Mjallby 3-0 GAIS in the Sweden - Cup on 22/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mjallby vs GAIS?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mjallby win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Mjallby 58%, draw 19%, GAIS 23%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mjallby), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mjallby) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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