Hammarby 3-3 IK Sirius — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Cup, 22 Mar 2026

📅22/03/2026 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.82
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
22%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.18
Over 2.5
60%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.6
No
43%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.04
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
26%
2.82
6+ Goals
12%
8.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
51%
+5.9pp
21%
Draw
24%
-3.0pp
22%
Away Win
25%
-2.9pp
40%
Under 2.5
42%
-1.9pp
60%
Over 2.5
58%
+1.9pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.2pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hammarby EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY IK Sirius EU Bookmakers 29%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
1.65/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/2.36
-9% / +96% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -26%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
399 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hammarby
4W-1D-1L
AWAY IK Sirius
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.46 xG 1.09
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 6
453 Passes 304
87% Pass Accuracy 80%
35 Box Touches 25
21 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 1
24.08.2025 IK Sirius IK Sirius 3-1 HT 1-0 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇ
14.05.2025 Hammarby Hammarby 3-2 HT 1-1 IK Sirius IK Sirius İSÇ
26.10.2024 IK Sirius IK Sirius 0-3 HT 0-2 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇ
26.05.2024 Hammarby Hammarby 3-0 HT 1-0 IK Sirius IK Sirius İSÇ
30.10.2023 Hammarby Hammarby 2-2 HT 1-0 IK Sirius IK Sirius İSÇ
09.07.2023 IK Sirius IK Sirius 1-2 HT 1-1 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hammarby
3-3
AWAY IK Sirius
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hammarby vs IK Sirius
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hammarby and IK Sirius couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 0-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. Hammarby carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Hammarby had 60% of the ball to IK Sirius's 40%, shots finished 12-17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hammarby had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Hammarby and 1.33 for IK Sirius.

What was the final score of Hammarby vs IK Sirius?

Hammarby 3-3 IK Sirius in the Sweden - Cup on 22/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hammarby vs IK Sirius?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hammarby win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Hammarby 57%, draw 21%, IK Sirius 22%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hammarby) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hammarby) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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