Almeria II 0-1 Xerez Deportivo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 22 Mar 2026

📅22/03/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.8
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
37%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.56
Over 2.5
45%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.99
No
47%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
17%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
32%
-0.1pp
31%
Draw
29%
+1.9pp
37%
Away Win
39%
-1.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
60%
-5.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
40%
+5.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
46%
+6.3pp
47%
BTTS No
54%
-6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Almeria II EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Xerez Deportivo EU Bookmakers 43%
-6% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
0.78/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/1.41
-26% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / -30%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
292 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Almeria II
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Xerez Deportivo
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
09.11.2025 Xerez Deportivo 1-1 HT 0-1 Almeria II Almeria II İS4
30.03.2025 Almeria II Almeria II 0-1 HT 0-1 Xerez Deportivo İS4
16.11.2024 Xerez Deportivo 0-0 HT 0-0 Almeria II Almeria II İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Almeria II
0-1
AWAY Xerez Deportivo
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 9
6 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Almeria II vs Xerez Deportivo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Xerez Deportivo edged past Almeria II 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 31% / 37% — and on the day Xerez Deportivo made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Almeria II had 47% of the ball to Xerez Deportivo's 53%, shots finished 7-12.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Xerez Deportivo led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Almeria II and 0.67 for Xerez Deportivo.

What was the final score of Almeria II vs Xerez Deportivo?

Almeria II 0-1 Xerez Deportivo in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 22/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Almeria II vs Xerez Deportivo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Xerez Deportivo win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Almeria II 32%, draw 31%, Xerez Deportivo 37%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Xerez Deportivo), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Xerez Deportivo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS4 More Spain - 2nd Division RFEF
22 Mar 2026
13:30 Sestao River vs Mutilvera Analysis →
13:30 Getafe II vs Tenerife II Analysis →
14:00 Deportiva Minera vs Antoniano Analysis →
14:00 Intercity Alicante vs Rayo Majadahonda Analysis →
14:00 Elche II vs Fuenlabrada Analysis →
14:00 Socuellamos vs Quintanar del Rey Analysis →