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Bayer Leverkusen (K) vs Carl Zeiss Jena (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bayer Leverkusen (K) v Carl Zeiss Jena (K) — Team-Based Signals
Bayer Leverkusen (K) vs Carl Zeiss Jena (K) Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
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Bayer Leverkusen (K) 1-0 Carl Zeiss Jena (K) — Actual Match Statistics
Bayer Leverkusen (K) squeezed past Carl Zeiss Jena (K) 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Bayer Leverkusen (K) as the likeliest winner at 77%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Bayer Leverkusen (K) had 63% of the ball to Carl Zeiss Jena (K)'s 37%, shots finished 18-9, expected goals 1.80 to 0.46 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Bayer Leverkusen (K)'s control.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Bayer Leverkusen (K) had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Bayer Leverkusen (K) and 0.67 for Carl Zeiss Jena (K).
What was the final score of Bayer Leverkusen (K) vs Carl Zeiss Jena (K)?
Bayer Leverkusen (K) 1-0 Carl Zeiss Jena (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 22/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bayer Leverkusen (K) vs Carl Zeiss Jena (K)?
Before kick-off our model rated a Bayer Leverkusen (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 77%, with the full match-result split Bayer Leverkusen (K) 77%, draw 11%, Carl Zeiss Jena (K) 11%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayer Leverkusen (K)) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.