Remo 4-1 Bahia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 22 Mar 2026

Remo
4-1 HT 1-1
Bahia
📅22/03/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Brazil - Serie A – 2026

Remo vs Bahia Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.67
Draw
23%
3.11
Away
38%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.75
Over 2.5
48%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.9
2-3 Goals
41%
1.73
4-5 Goals
21%
3.74
6+ Goals
8%
16.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.9 — our 30% vs market 27.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.31
1/2
6%
28.5
1/X
10%
12.7
X/1 EV+ ✓
19%
6.16
X/2
17%
5.37
X/X
7%
4.18
2/1
6%
32.0
2/2
14%
3.48
2/X
7%
12.4
Value flag · X/1 at 6.16 — our 19% vs market 12.2%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
34%
+5.4pp
23%
Draw
28%
-5.2pp
38%
Away Win
38%
-0.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
53%
-1.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
47%
+1.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.5pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Remo v Bahia — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Remo EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Bahia EU Bookmakers 42%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -3%
2.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.14
+61% / -46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +4%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
310 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.3
– Crosses 17.7
– Yellow Cards 2.3

Remo 4-1 Bahia — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Remo
4-1
AWAY Bahia
1.56 xG 1.56
38% Ball Possession 62%
16 Total Shots 11
10 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 9
202 Passes 401
74% Pass Accuracy 88%
17 Box Touches 25
18 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Remo vs Bahia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Remo ran out comfortable winners over Bahia 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (39% / 23% / 38%) promised a tight game; Remo found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Remo had 38% of the ball to Bahia's 62%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 1.56 to 1.56.

What was the final score of Remo vs Bahia?

Remo 4-1 Bahia in the Brazil - Serie A on 22/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Remo vs Bahia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Remo win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Remo 39%, draw 23%, Bahia 38%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Remo), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Remo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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