Vasco da Gama vs Gremio Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Vasco da Gama v Gremio — Team-Based Signals
Vasco da Gama vs Gremio Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Vasco da Gama
BR1
1-0
HT 0-0
Gremio
BR1
Vasco da Gama 2-1 Gremio — Actual Match Statistics
Vasco da Gama edged past Gremio 2-1.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Vasco da Gama as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (58%) came in.
On the day, Vasco da Gama had 37% of the ball to Gremio's 63%, shots finished 10-9, expected goals 1.60 to 0.54.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gremio led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Vasco da Gama and 1.00 for Gremio.
What was the final score of Vasco da Gama vs Gremio?
Vasco da Gama 2-1 Gremio in the Brazil - Serie A on 22/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Vasco da Gama vs Gremio?
Before kick-off our model rated a Vasco da Gama win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Vasco da Gama 54%, draw 21%, Gremio 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vasco da Gama), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.