Gremio vs Vasco da Gama Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Gremio v Vasco da Gama — Team-Based Signals
Gremio vs Vasco da Gama Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Vasco da Gama
BR1
1-0
HT 0-0
Gremio
BR1
2-1
HT 2-1
Vasco da Gama
BR2
Gremio 2-0 Vasco da Gama — Actual Match Statistics
Gremio got the better of Vasco da Gama 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Gremio as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Gremio had 37% of the ball to Vasco da Gama's 63%, shots finished 24-5, expected goals 1.72 to 0.20.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gremio had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Gremio and 0.83 for Vasco da Gama.
What was the final score of Gremio vs Vasco da Gama?
Gremio 2-0 Vasco da Gama in the Brazil - Serie A on 20/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Gremio vs Vasco da Gama?
Before kick-off our model rated a Gremio win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Gremio 55%, draw 25%, Vasco da Gama 20%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gremio), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.