Palmeiras 0-0 Vitoria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 20 Nov 2025

📅20/11/2025 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.37
Draw
18%
4.34
Away
16%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.0
Over 2.5
60%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
2.03
No
46%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
3.62
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.23
6+ Goals
15%
11.25
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.23 — our 26% vs market 25.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1.65
1/2
3%
35.0
1/X
6%
18.7
X/1
19%
3.85
X/2
5%
16.25
X/X
8%
6.26
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
24.45
2/2
8%
14.55
2/X
4%
22.25
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.45 — our 8% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
68%
-2.6pp
18%
Draw
20%
-1.6pp
16%
Away Win
12%
+4.2pp
40%
Under 2.5
46%
-6.0pp
60%
Over 2.5
54%
+6.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
45%
+8.8pp
46%
BTTS No
55%
-8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Palmeiras EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Vitoria EU Bookmakers 15%
-3% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -3%
1.97/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.60
+10% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -12%
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
432 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 75%
27.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.2
25.1 Crosses 17.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Palmeiras
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Vitoria
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.35 xG 1.14
59% Ball Possession 41%
19 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
403 Passes 259
84% Pass Accuracy 77%
26 Box Touches 16
25 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 4
04.08.2025 Vitoria Vitoria 2-2 HT 1-0 Palmeiras Palmeiras BR1
28.07.2024 Palmeiras Palmeiras 0-2 HT 0-0 Vitoria Vitoria BR1
15.04.2024 Vitoria Vitoria 0-1 HT 0-1 Palmeiras Palmeiras BR1
02.12.2018 Palmeiras Palmeiras 3-2 HT 1-0 Vitoria Vitoria BR1
19.08.2018 Vitoria Vitoria 0-3 HT 0-2 Palmeiras Palmeiras BR1
09.11.2017 Vitoria Vitoria 3-1 HT 3-1 Palmeiras Palmeiras BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Palmeiras
0-0
AWAY Vitoria
1.38 xG 0.12
70% Ball Possession 30%
21 Total Shots 4
9 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 3
474 Passes 150
84% Pass Accuracy 63%
37 Box Touches 6
35 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Palmeiras vs Vitoria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Palmeiras and Vitoria fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

This one beat our numbers. Palmeiras carried 66% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Palmeiras had 70% of the ball to Vitoria's 30%, shots finished 21-4, expected goals 1.38 to 0.12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Palmeiras had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Palmeiras and 1.50 for Vitoria.

What was the final score of Palmeiras vs Vitoria?

Palmeiras 0-0 Vitoria in the Brazil - Serie A on 20/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Palmeiras vs Vitoria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Palmeiras win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Palmeiras 66%, draw 18%, Vitoria 16%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Palmeiras) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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