Fluminense 2-1 Flamengo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 20 Nov 2025

📅20/11/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.29
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
40%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.45
Over 2.5
37%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.16
No
58%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.09
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals
17%
5.85
6+ Goals
7%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
5.91
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
5%
15.65
X/1
12%
6.83
X/2
11%
4.59
X/X
18%
3.53
2/1
7%
35.0
2/2
23%
3.23
2/X
8%
14.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
27%
+2.3pp
31%
Draw
30%
+0.7pp
39%
Away Win
42%
-3.0pp
63%
Under 2.5
65%
-2.1pp
37%
Over 2.5
35%
+2.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.1pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fluminense EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Flamengo EU Bookmakers 46%
+7% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +2%
1.15/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.27
+2% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / -18%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
330 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 81%
18.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.2
16.7 Crosses 15.8
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fluminense
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Flamengo
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.79 xG 1.09
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
384 Passes 350
84% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 3
21.07.2025 Flamengo Flamengo 1-0 HT 0-0 Fluminense Fluminense BR1
18.10.2024 Flamengo Flamengo 0-2 HT 0-0 Fluminense Fluminense BR1
23.06.2024 Fluminense Fluminense 0-1 HT 0-0 Flamengo Flamengo BR1
12.11.2023 Flamengo Flamengo 1-1 HT 1-0 Fluminense Fluminense BR1
16.07.2023 Fluminense Fluminense 0-0 HT 0-0 Flamengo Flamengo BR1
02.06.2023 Flamengo Flamengo 2-0 HT 1-0 Fluminense Fluminense BRK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fluminense
2-1
AWAY Flamengo
1.75 xG 1.56
31% Ball Possession 69%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
174 Passes 485
71% Pass Accuracy 89%
10 Box Touches 28
10 Crosses 30
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Fluminense vs Flamengo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fluminense squeezed past Flamengo 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 29% / 31% / 39% — and on the day Fluminense made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Fluminense had 31% of the ball to Flamengo's 69%, shots finished 9-13, expected goals 1.75 to 1.56.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Flamengo led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Fluminense and 0.83 for Flamengo.

What was the final score of Fluminense vs Flamengo?

Fluminense 2-1 Flamengo in the Brazil - Serie A on 20/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fluminense vs Flamengo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Flamengo win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Fluminense 29%, draw 31%, Flamengo 39%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Flamengo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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