Santos 1-1 Mirassol FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 20 Nov 2025

📅20/11/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.82
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
28%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.75
Over 2.5
51%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.88
No
46%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.93
2-3 Goals
43%
1.76
4-5 Goals
20%
3.85
6+ Goals
10%
17.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.49
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
8%
14.05
X/1
19%
4.37
X/2
13%
8.52
X/X
12%
4.61
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
8%
6.94
2/X
6%
15.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
51%
-5.1pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.6pp
29%
Away Win
23%
+5.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
53%
-4.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
47%
+4.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
49%
+5.3pp
46%
BTTS No
51%
-5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santos EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Mirassol FC EU Bookmakers 26%
+0% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
1.49/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.31
+7% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +28%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
348 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 78%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.4
23.7 Crosses 21.7
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santos
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Mirassol FC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.41 xG 1.09
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
327 Passes 348
82% Pass Accuracy 83%
20 Box Touches 20
23 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
20.07.2025 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC 3-0 HT 0-0 Santos Santos BR1
13.10.2024 Santos Santos 3-2 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC BR2
26.06.2024 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Santos Santos BR2
12.02.2024 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC 2-2 HT 1-1 Santos Santos BREPAU
15.01.2023 Santos Santos 2-1 HT 1-1 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC BREPAU
18.02.2022 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC 3-2 HT 3-0 Santos Santos BREPAU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santos
1-1
AWAY Mirassol FC
1.99 xG 1.60
49% Ball Possession 51%
17 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 7
347 Passes 355
84% Pass Accuracy 85%
31 Box Touches 19
22 Crosses 29
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Santos vs Mirassol FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santos and Mirassol FC shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Santos at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Santos had 49% of the ball to Mirassol FC's 51%, shots finished 17-16, expected goals 1.99 to 1.60.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Santos and 1.83 for Mirassol FC.

What was the final score of Santos vs Mirassol FC?

Santos 1-1 Mirassol FC in the Brazil - Serie A on 20/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santos vs Mirassol FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Santos win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Santos 46%, draw 26%, Mirassol FC 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Santos), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Santos) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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