Juventude 3-3 Cruzeiro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 20 Nov 2025

📅20/11/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.29
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
42%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.62
Over 2.5
43%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.95
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.54
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals
18%
4.48
6+ Goals
8%
24.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
5.78
1/2
8%
29.0
1/X
9%
14.85
X/1
9%
7.15
X/2
13%
4.63
X/X
14%
4.08
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
21%
2.98
2/X
7%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
27%
+1.7pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.6pp
42%
Away Win
45%
-3.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
58%
-0.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
42%
+0.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.1pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Juventude EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Cruzeiro EU Bookmakers 49%
+13% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -10%
0.97/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.06
+9% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -50% / +67%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
310 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 82%
18.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.6
22.3 Crosses 18.7
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Juventude
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Cruzeiro
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.02 xG 1.60
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
278 Passes 352
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
14 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 3
20.07.2025 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 4-0 HT 1-0 Juventude Juventude BR1
08.12.2024 Juventude Juventude 0-1 HT 0-1 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro BR1
25.07.2024 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 2-0 HT 1-0 Juventude Juventude BR1
17.01.2021 Juventude Juventude 1-0 HT 1-0 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro BR2
17.10.2020 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 0-0 HT 0-0 Juventude Juventude BR2
06.09.2007 Juventude Juventude 1-0 HT 1-0 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Juventude
3-3
AWAY Cruzeiro
1.74 xG 1.77
36% Ball Possession 64%
12 Total Shots 17
7 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 9
195 Passes 388
77% Pass Accuracy 86%
13 Box Touches 27
16 Crosses 28
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Juventude vs Cruzeiro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Juventude and Cruzeiro shared the points in a 3-3 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Cruzeiro at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Juventude had 36% of the ball to Cruzeiro's 64%, shots finished 12-17, expected goals 1.74 to 1.77.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cruzeiro led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Juventude and 1.17 for Cruzeiro.

What was the final score of Juventude vs Cruzeiro?

Juventude 3-3 Cruzeiro in the Brazil - Serie A on 20/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Juventude vs Cruzeiro?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cruzeiro win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Juventude 28%, draw 30%, Cruzeiro 42%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Cruzeiro) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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