Sao Paulo vs Palmeiras Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sao Paulo v Palmeiras — Team-Based Signals
Sao Paulo vs Palmeiras Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
5-0
HT 3-0
Sao Paulo
BR1
Sao Paulo 0-1 Palmeiras — Actual Match Statistics
Palmeiras nicked a narrow win over Sao Paulo 1-0 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was Sao Paulo at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Sao Paulo had 63% of the ball to Palmeiras's 37%, shots finished 3-6, expected goals 0.05 to 0.17.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Palmeiras led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Sao Paulo and 1.83 for Palmeiras.
What was the final score of Sao Paulo vs Palmeiras?
Sao Paulo 0-1 Palmeiras in the Brazil - Serie A on 22/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sao Paulo vs Palmeiras?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sao Paulo win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Sao Paulo 42%, draw 27%, Palmeiras 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Sao Paulo) went the other way.