Atletico Paranaense vs Coritiba Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Atletico Paranaense v Coritiba — Team-Based Signals
Atletico Paranaense vs Coritiba Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 2-0
Atletico Paranaense
BR1
3-2
HT 0-1
Coritiba
BR1
1-1
HT 1-1
Coritiba
BRPR
1-0
HT 0-0
Coritiba
BR1
Atletico Paranaense 2-0 Coritiba — Actual Match Statistics
Atletico Paranaense saw off Coritiba 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Atletico Paranaense as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Atletico Paranaense had 53% of the ball to Coritiba's 47%, shots finished 6-4, expected goals 1.08 to 0.13.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Atletico Paranaense and 1.00 for Coritiba.
What was the final score of Atletico Paranaense vs Coritiba?
Atletico Paranaense 2-0 Coritiba in the Brazil - Serie A on 22/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Atletico Paranaense vs Coritiba?
Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Paranaense win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Atletico Paranaense 50%, draw 26%, Coritiba 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Paranaense), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.