Avai 2-0 Juventude — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 22 Mar 2026

📅22/03/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.46
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
33%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.71
Over 2.5
43%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.71
2-3 Goals
44%
1.7
4-5 Goals
18%
3.82
6+ Goals
8%
17.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.71 — our 30% vs market 29.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+2.2pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.9pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-1.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
55%
+2.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
45%
-2.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.0pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Avai EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Juventude EU Bookmakers 37%
+1% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +16%
1.06/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/0.96
+2% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +53% / +0%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
291 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 78%
17.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.9
20.4 Crosses 16.5
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Avai
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Juventude
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.07 xG 1.11
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
355 Passes 316
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 3
26.09.2023 Avai Avai 0-2 HT 0-2 Juventude Juventude BR2
03.06.2023 Juventude Juventude 3-2 HT 2-1 Avai Avai BR2
03.09.2022 Juventude Juventude 1-1 HT 0-0 Avai Avai BR1
16.05.2022 Avai Avai 1-2 HT 1-1 Juventude Juventude BR1
20.01.2021 Avai Avai 5-2 HT 4-2 Juventude Juventude BR2
21.10.2020 Juventude Juventude 3-0 HT 1-0 Avai Avai BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Avai
2-0
AWAY Juventude
0.96 xG 0.74
41% Ball Possession 59%
15 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 3
243 Passes 373
76% Pass Accuracy 86%
16 Box Touches 23
9 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Avai vs Juventude
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Avai beat Juventude 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 33%) promised a tight game; Avai found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Avai had 41% of the ball to Juventude's 59%, shots finished 15-8, expected goals 0.96 to 0.74.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Juventude led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Avai and 2.17 for Juventude.

What was the final score of Avai vs Juventude?

Avai 2-0 Juventude in the Brazil - Serie B on 22/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Avai vs Juventude?

Before kick-off our model rated a Avai win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Avai 39%, draw 28%, Juventude 33%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Avai), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Avai) ✓ Under 2.5
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