Nautico 0-1 Criciuma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 22 Mar 2026

📅22/03/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.27
Draw
31%
2.66
Away
30%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.48
Over 2.5
43%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.03
No
52%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.14
2-3 Goals
41%
1.72
4-5 Goals
19%
5.1
6+ Goals
8%
32.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
40%
-1.1pp
31%
Draw
34%
-3.2pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+4.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
64%
-7.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
36%
+7.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
45%
+2.8pp
52%
BTTS No
55%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nautico EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Criciuma EU Bookmakers 29%
+2% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +6%
1.27/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.37
+20% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +17%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
326 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 75%
18.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.3
23.3 Crosses 16.5
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nautico
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Criciuma
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.07 xG 1.39
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
209 Passes 318
66% Pass Accuracy 76%
14 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 30
3 Yellow Cards 2
08.10.2022 Criciuma Criciuma 2-1 HT 1-1 Nautico Nautico BR2
30.06.2022 Nautico Nautico 1-1 HT 1-1 Criciuma Criciuma BR2
15.11.2017 Criciuma Criciuma 0-0 HT 0-0 Nautico Nautico BR2
30.07.2017 Nautico Nautico 1-2 HT 0-1 Criciuma Criciuma BR2
20.08.2016 Nautico Nautico 0-1 HT 0-1 Criciuma Criciuma BR2
14.05.2016 Criciuma Criciuma 1-0 HT 0-0 Nautico Nautico BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nautico
0-1
AWAY Criciuma
60% Ball Possession 40%
10 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 2
12 Corners 8
312 Passes 181
79% Pass Accuracy 69%
POST-MATCH Nautico vs Criciuma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Criciuma edged past Nautico 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (39% / 31% / 30%) promised a tight game; Criciuma found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Nautico had 60% of the ball to Criciuma's 40%, shots finished 10-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Criciuma led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Nautico and 1.17 for Criciuma.

What was the final score of Nautico vs Criciuma?

Nautico 0-1 Criciuma in the Brazil - Serie B on 22/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nautico vs Criciuma?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nautico win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Nautico 39%, draw 31%, Criciuma 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Nautico) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nautico) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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