Botafogo SP 4-0 Fortaleza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 22 Mar 2026

Botafogo SP
4-0 HT 3-0
Fortaleza
📅22/03/2026 · 🕒01:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Brazil - Serie B – 2026

Botafogo SP vs Fortaleza Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.29
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
41%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.6
Over 2.5
46%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.95
No
48%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.41
2-3 Goals
41%
1.7
4-5 Goals
20%
4.34
6+ Goals
9%
23.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
20%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
27%
+3.4pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.1pp
42%
Away Win
43%
-1.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
59%
-5.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
41%
+5.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.1pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Botafogo SP v Fortaleza — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Botafogo SP EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Fortaleza EU Bookmakers 46%
+6% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.05/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.93/1.39
-4% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -53% / +150%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
280 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 79%
15.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
19.2 Crosses 20.3
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.9

Botafogo SP 4-0 Fortaleza — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Botafogo SP
4-0
AWAY Fortaleza
2.60 xG 0.33
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 2
281 Passes 336
83% Pass Accuracy 86%
23 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Botafogo SP vs Fortaleza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Botafogo SP cruised past Fortaleza 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

Our pre-match lean was Fortaleza at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Botafogo SP had 47% of the ball to Fortaleza's 53%, shots finished 15-7, expected goals 2.60 to 0.33.

What was the final score of Botafogo SP vs Fortaleza?

Botafogo SP 4-0 Fortaleza in the Brazil - Serie B on 22/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Botafogo SP vs Fortaleza?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fortaleza win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Botafogo SP 31%, draw 28%, Fortaleza 42%. The final score 4-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Fortaleza) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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