Marupe 4-0 Rezekne / BJSS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 22 Mar 2026

📅22/03/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.82
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
27%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.18
Over 2.5
54%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.6
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
49%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
51%
+0.7pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.4pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+1.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
42%
+4.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
58%
-4.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.2pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marupe EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Rezekne / BJSS EU Bookmakers 29%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.44/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.26/1.74
-36% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +100% / +12%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
327 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marupe
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Rezekne / BJSS
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
05.10.2025 Rezekne / BJSS Rezekne / BJSS 2-1 HT 1-1 Marupe Marupe LET1
24.05.2025 Marupe Marupe 1-1 HT 0-1 Rezekne / BJSS Rezekne / BJSS LET1
30.06.2024 Rezekne / BJSS Rezekne / BJSS 1-1 HT 0-0 Marupe Marupe LET1
POST-MATCH Marupe vs Rezekne / BJSS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marupe cruised past Rezekne / BJSS 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Marupe as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Rezekne / BJSS led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Marupe and 1.33 for Rezekne / BJSS.

What was the final score of Marupe vs Rezekne / BJSS?

Marupe 4-0 Rezekne / BJSS in the Latvia - 1st Division on 22/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marupe vs Rezekne / BJSS?

Before kick-off our model rated a Marupe win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Marupe 52%, draw 21%, Rezekne / BJSS 27%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Marupe), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Marupe) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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