Skanste 1-2 Leevon / PPK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 22 Mar 2026

📅22/03/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
29%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
2.0
Over 2.5
42%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.63
No
48%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
51%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
4%
X/X
6%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
34%
+10.7pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.8pp
30%
Away Win
40%
-10.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
46%
+12.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
54%
-12.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
57%
-5.2pp
48%
BTTS No
43%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Skanste EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Leevon / PPK EU Bookmakers 43%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
0.77/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.29
-50% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +5%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
278 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Skanste
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Leevon / PPK
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
23.05.2025 Leevon / PPK Leevon / PPK 4-2 HT 4-0 Skanste Skanste LET1
21.09.2024 Skanste Skanste 3-0 Leevon / PPK Leevon / PPK LET1
19.05.2024 Leevon / PPK Leevon / PPK 2-0 HT 1-0 Skanste Skanste LET1
POST-MATCH Skanste vs Leevon / PPK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leevon / PPK nicked a narrow win over Skanste 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Skanste at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Leevon / PPK led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Skanste and 2.00 for Leevon / PPK.

What was the final score of Skanste vs Leevon / PPK?

Skanste 1-2 Leevon / PPK in the Latvia - 1st Division on 22/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Skanste vs Leevon / PPK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Skanste win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Skanste 45%, draw 26%, Leevon / PPK 30%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Skanste), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Skanste) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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