Rigas FS II vs Smiltene Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Rigas FS II v Smiltene — Team-Based Signals
Rigas FS II vs Smiltene Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
5-4
HT 3-4
Smiltene
LET1
2-1
Rigas FS II
LET1
Rigas FS II and Smiltene couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Rigas FS II at 60% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rigas FS II had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.17 goals for Rigas FS II and 1.17 for Smiltene.
What was the final score of Rigas FS II vs Smiltene?
Rigas FS II 3-3 Smiltene in the Latvia - 1st Division on 22/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Rigas FS II vs Smiltene?
Before kick-off our model rated a Rigas FS II win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Rigas FS II 60%, draw 20%, Smiltene 20%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Rigas FS II) went the other way.