Smiltene 1-1 Rigas FS II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 8 Nov 2025

📅08/11/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.84
Draw
18%
3.64
Away
51%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
26%
2.38
Over 2.5
74%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
68%
No
32%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
10%
1/X
3%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
30%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
31%
-0.2pp
18%
Draw
24%
-6.2pp
51%
Away Win
45%
+6.5pp
26%
Under 2.5
38%
-11.9pp
74%
Over 2.5
62%
+12.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Smiltene EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Rigas FS II EU Bookmakers 49%
-43% / -43% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
0.24/2.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.08/1.21
-84% / -40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +9%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
332 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 382 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Smiltene
1W-0D-4L
AWAY Rigas FS II
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 3.60
20.07.2025 Rigas FS II Rigas FS II 2-0 HT 1-0 Smiltene Smiltene LET1
17.08.2024 Smiltene Smiltene 0-3 HT 0-2 Rigas FS II Rigas FS II LET1
21.04.2024 Rigas FS II Rigas FS II 7-0 Smiltene Smiltene LET1
12.11.2023 Rigas FS II Rigas FS II 5-4 HT 3-4 Smiltene Smiltene LET1
29.07.2023 Smiltene Smiltene 2-1 Rigas FS II Rigas FS II LET1
POST-MATCH Smiltene vs Rigas FS II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Smiltene and Rigas FS II shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Rigas FS II at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (68%) landed while over 2.5 goals (74%) missed.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Rigas FS II led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Smiltene and 3.60 for Rigas FS II.

What was the final score of Smiltene vs Rigas FS II?

Smiltene 1-1 Rigas FS II in the Latvia - 1st Division on 08/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Smiltene vs Rigas FS II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rigas FS II win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Smiltene 31%, draw 18%, Rigas FS II 51%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Rigas FS II), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rigas FS II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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