Marupe 0-1 Ogre United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 8 Nov 2025

Marupe
0-1 HT 0-1
Ogre United
📅08/11/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Latvia - 1st Division – 2025

Marupe vs Ogre United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
5.34
Draw
25%
4.62
Away
47%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
2.1
Over 2.5
67%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
67%
No
33%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
37%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
11%
1/X
11%
X/1
9%
X/2
20%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
16%
+11.8pp
25%
Draw
18%
+6.9pp
47%
Away Win
66%
-18.7pp
33%
Under 2.5
44%
-10.6pp
67%
Over 2.5
56%
+10.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Marupe v Ogre United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marupe EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Ogre United EU Bookmakers 70%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.13/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.80/0.82
-12% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +43% / +60%
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
254 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 438 · 84%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Marupe vs Ogre United Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marupe
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Ogre United
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
The Meetings
18.07.2025 Ogre United 3-1 HT 1-0 Marupe Marupe LET1
06.07.2024 Marupe Marupe 3-2 Ogre United LET1
POST-MATCH Marupe vs Ogre United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ogre United nicked a narrow win over Marupe 1-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Ogre United as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (67%), both teams to score (67%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Marupe and 2.50 for Ogre United.

What was the final score of Marupe vs Ogre United?

Marupe 0-1 Ogre United in the Latvia - 1st Division on 08/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marupe vs Ogre United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ogre United win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Marupe 27%, draw 25%, Ogre United 47%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ogre United) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ogre United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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