Rezekne / BJSS 3-4 Progress / AFA Olaine — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 8 Nov 2025

📅08/11/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.8
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
15%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
29%
Over 2.5
71%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
66%
1.32
No
34%
3.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
12%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
23%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
3%
1/X
15%
X/1
13%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
52%
+6.5pp
27%
Draw
22%
+4.5pp
15%
Away Win
26%
-11.0pp
66%
BTTS Yes
72%
-5.0pp
34%
BTTS No
28%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rezekne / BJSS EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Progress / AFA Olaine EU Bookmakers 29%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.10/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/3.27
-50% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -47%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
372 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 233 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rezekne / BJSS
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Progress / AFA Olaine
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
19.07.2025 Progress / AFA Olaine Progress / AFA Olaine 3-0 HT 0-0 Rezekne / BJSS Rezekne / BJSS LET1
14.09.2024 Progress / AFA Olaine Progress / AFA Olaine 5-0 HT 3-0 Rezekne / BJSS Rezekne / BJSS LET1
12.05.2024 Rezekne / BJSS Rezekne / BJSS 1-2 HT 1-0 Progress / AFA Olaine Progress / AFA Olaine LET1
27.05.2023 Rezekne / BJSS Rezekne / BJSS 2-0 HT 2-0 Progress / AFA Olaine Progress / AFA Olaine LET1
POST-MATCH Rezekne / BJSS vs Progress / AFA Olaine
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Progress / AFA Olaine edged past Rezekne / BJSS 4-3 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. Rezekne / BJSS carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (71%), both teams to score (66%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Progress / AFA Olaine led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Rezekne / BJSS and 2.50 for Progress / AFA Olaine.

What was the final score of Rezekne / BJSS vs Progress / AFA Olaine?

Rezekne / BJSS 3-4 Progress / AFA Olaine in the Latvia - 1st Division on 08/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rezekne / BJSS vs Progress / AFA Olaine?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rezekne / BJSS win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Rezekne / BJSS 58%, draw 27%, Progress / AFA Olaine 15%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Rezekne / BJSS) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rezekne / BJSS) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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