FK Tukums 2000 vs Super Nova Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
FK Tukums 2000 v Super Nova — Team-Based Signals
FK Tukums 2000 vs Super Nova Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Super Nova
LET
2-5
HT 1-3
FK Tukums 2000
LET
FK Tukums 2000 1-2 Super Nova — Actual Match Statistics
Super Nova squeezed past FK Tukums 2000 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.
Our pre-match lean was FK Tukums 2000 at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, FK Tukums 2000 had 66% of the ball to Super Nova's 34%, shots finished 12-12, expected goals 1.59 to 0.99 — the balance of chances actually favoured FK Tukums 2000.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FK Tukums 2000 had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for FK Tukums 2000 and 1.17 for Super Nova.
What was the final score of FK Tukums 2000 vs Super Nova?
FK Tukums 2000 1-2 Super Nova in the Latvia - Virsliga on 22/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for FK Tukums 2000 vs Super Nova?
Before kick-off our model rated a FK Tukums 2000 win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split FK Tukums 2000 49%, draw 25%, Super Nova 26%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FK Tukums 2000) went the other way.