FK Tukums 2000 2-1 Super Nova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 28 Sep 2025

📅28/09/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.12
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
31%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.1
Over 2.5
59%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.56
No
38%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
12%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
43%
+0.7pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.5pp
31%
Away Win
31%
-0.2pp
41%
Under 2.5
44%
-2.9pp
59%
Over 2.5
56%
+2.9pp
62%
BTTS Yes
60%
+1.5pp
38%
BTTS No
40%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Tukums 2000 EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Super Nova EU Bookmakers 34%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -26%
1.71/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.16
-16% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -15%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
332 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 81%
24.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.9
19.7 Crosses 27.1
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Tukums 2000
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Super Nova
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.33 xG 1.45
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
292 Passes 243
74% Pass Accuracy 69%
22 Box Touches 20
21 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
06.07.2025 Super Nova Super Nova 1-0 HT 1-0 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET
16.05.2025 Super Nova Super Nova 1-1 HT 0-1 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET
31.03.2025 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 2-2 HT 2-1 Super Nova Super Nova LET
17.09.2023 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 1-0 HT 0-0 Super Nova Super Nova LET
30.06.2023 Super Nova Super Nova 2-5 HT 1-3 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET
27.05.2023 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 3-2 HT 2-0 Super Nova Super Nova LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Tukums 2000
2-1
AWAY Super Nova
2.16 xG 0.57
65% Ball Possession 35%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
387 Passes 162
80% Pass Accuracy 61%
27 Box Touches 10
31 Crosses 17
0 Yellow Cards 2
FAQ FK Tukums 2000 vs Super Nova
Match summary & frequently asked questions

FK Tukums 2000 edged past Super Nova 2-1 in the Latvia - Virsliga on 28 Sep 2025. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 59% and both teams to score was favoured at 62%.

On the day, FK Tukums 2000 had 65% of the ball to Super Nova's 35%, shots finished 15-8, expected goals 2.16 to 0.57.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, FK Tukums 2000 have the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for FK Tukums 2000 and 1.33 for Super Nova.

What was the final score of FK Tukums 2000 vs Super Nova?

FK Tukums 2000 2-1 Super Nova in the Latvia - Virsliga on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Tukums 2000 vs Super Nova?

Before kick-off our model rated a FK Tukums 2000 win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split FK Tukums 2000 44%, draw 25%, Super Nova 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FK Tukums 2000), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FK Tukums 2000) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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