Liepaja 2-2 Rigas Skola — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 28 Sep 2025

📅28/09/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.32
Draw
20%
3.72
Away
54%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.1
Over 2.5
55%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.63
No
48%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
11%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
17%
X/X
6%
2/1
6%
2/2
26%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
26%
-0.3pp
20%
Draw
23%
-3.1pp
54%
Away Win
50%
+3.5pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
57%
-5.3pp
48%
BTTS No
43%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Liepaja EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Rigas Skola EU Bookmakers 55%
+10% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -2%
1.25/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/0.36
-17% / +56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +2%
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
298 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 76%
17.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.0
18.8 Crosses 45.0
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Liepaja
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Rigas Skola
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
0.85 xG 1.99
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 5
266 Passes 495
77% Pass Accuracy 88%
16 Box Touches 35
13 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.07.2025 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola 2-1 HT 1-0 Liepaja Liepaja LET
14.05.2025 Liepaja Liepaja 2-1 HT 1-1 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola LET
29.03.2025 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola 4-1 HT 0-1 Liepaja Liepaja LET
20.09.2024 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola 2-0 HT 1-0 Liepaja Liepaja LET
01.07.2024 Liepaja Liepaja 1-3 HT 1-1 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola LET
10.05.2024 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola 4-1 HT 2-1 Liepaja Liepaja LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Liepaja
2-2
AWAY Rigas Skola
1.68 xG 2.76
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 4
318 Passes 402
82% Pass Accuracy 86%
12 Box Touches 27
9 Crosses 30
6 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Liepaja vs Rigas Skola
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Liepaja and Rigas Skola couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Rigas Skola at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Liepaja had 45% of the ball to Rigas Skola's 55%, shots finished 8-18, expected goals 1.68 to 2.76.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rigas Skola led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Liepaja and 2.67 for Rigas Skola.

What was the final score of Liepaja vs Rigas Skola?

Liepaja 2-2 Rigas Skola in the Latvia - Virsliga on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Liepaja vs Rigas Skola?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rigas Skola win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Liepaja 26%, draw 20%, Rigas Skola 54%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Rigas Skola) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rigas Skola) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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