Rigas Skola 2-1 Liepaja — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 4 Jul 2025

📅04/07/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.43
Draw
24%
4.34
Away
26%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.23
Over 2.5
53%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
66%
-15.0pp
24%
Draw
20%
+4.1pp
26%
Away Win
15%
+10.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.8pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rigas Skola EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Liepaja EU Bookmakers 18%
-3% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +14%
2.20/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.59/2.01
+23% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / +15%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
376 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 75%
33.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.5
25.9 Crosses 13.5
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rigas Skola
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Liepaja
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2.14 xG 0.66
64% Ball Possession 36%
21 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
515 Passes 248
88% Pass Accuracy 76%
41 Box Touches 13
23 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.05.2025 Liepaja Liepaja 2-1 HT 1-1 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola LET
29.03.2025 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola 4-1 HT 0-1 Liepaja Liepaja LET
20.09.2024 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola 2-0 HT 1-0 Liepaja Liepaja LET
01.07.2024 Liepaja Liepaja 1-3 HT 1-1 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola LET
10.05.2024 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola 4-1 HT 2-1 Liepaja Liepaja LET
30.03.2024 Liepaja Liepaja 0-3 HT 0-1 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rigas Skola
2-1
AWAY Liepaja
1.91 xG 1.41
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 2
313 Passes 373
87% Pass Accuracy 87%
21 Box Touches 29
21 Crosses 25
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Rigas Skola vs Liepaja
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rigas Skola nicked a narrow win over Liepaja 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Rigas Skola as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Rigas Skola had 46% of the ball to Liepaja's 54%, shots finished 12-20, expected goals 1.91 to 1.41.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rigas Skola had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Rigas Skola and 0.83 for Liepaja.

What was the final score of Rigas Skola vs Liepaja?

Rigas Skola 2-1 Liepaja in the Latvia - Virsliga on 04/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rigas Skola vs Liepaja?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rigas Skola win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Rigas Skola 51%, draw 24%, Liepaja 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rigas Skola), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rigas Skola) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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