Rigas Skola 4-1 Liepaja — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.42
Draw
24%
4.34
Away
22%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.0
Over 2.5
56%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
2.03
No
44%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
67%
-12.3pp
24%
Draw
20%
+3.3pp
22%
Away Win
13%
+8.9pp
44%
Under 2.5
46%
-2.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
54%
+2.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
45%
+10.7pp
44%
BTTS No
55%
-10.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rigas Skola EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Liepaja EU Bookmakers 16%
-6% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +10%
2.33/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.60/2.19
+13% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +36%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
432 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 233 · 69%
34.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.2
25.9 Crosses 11.3
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rigas Skola
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Liepaja
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.29 xG 0.70
60% Ball Possession 40%
20 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
465 Passes 269
86% Pass Accuracy 77%
39 Box Touches 13
21 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.09.2024 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola 2-0 HT 1-0 Liepaja Liepaja LET
01.07.2024 Liepaja Liepaja 1-3 HT 1-1 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola LET
10.05.2024 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola 4-1 HT 2-1 Liepaja Liepaja LET
30.03.2024 Liepaja Liepaja 0-3 HT 0-1 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola LET
30.09.2023 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola 3-1 HT 2-0 Liepaja Liepaja LET
08.07.2023 Liepaja Liepaja 1-1 HT 0-1 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rigas Skola
4-1
AWAY Liepaja
2.53 xG 0.80
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 4
528 Passes 318
89% Pass Accuracy 83%
40 Box Touches 15
26 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Rigas Skola vs Liepaja
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rigas Skola swept aside Liepaja 4-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Rigas Skola as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Rigas Skola had 61% of the ball to Liepaja's 39%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 2.53 to 0.80.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rigas Skola had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Rigas Skola and 0.67 for Liepaja.

What was the final score of Rigas Skola vs Liepaja?

Rigas Skola 4-1 Liepaja in the Latvia - Virsliga on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rigas Skola vs Liepaja?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rigas Skola win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Rigas Skola 54%, draw 24%, Liepaja 22%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rigas Skola), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rigas Skola) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
LET More Latvia - Virsliga
29 Mar 2025
16:00 Riga FC vs BFC Daugavpils Analysis →