Riga FC vs BFC Daugavpils Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Riga FC v BFC Daugavpils — Team-Based Signals
Riga FC vs BFC Daugavpils Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-0
Riga FC
LET
3-0
HT 1-0
BFC Daugavpils
LET
Riga FC 1-2 BFC Daugavpils — Actual Match Statistics
BFC Daugavpils edged past Riga FC 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Riga FC at 69% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, over 2.5 goals (62%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.
On the day, Riga FC had 79% of the ball to BFC Daugavpils's 21%, shots finished 39-5, expected goals 5.36 to 1.48 — the balance of chances actually favoured Riga FC.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Riga FC had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Riga FC and 0.00 for BFC Daugavpils.
What was the final score of Riga FC vs BFC Daugavpils?
Riga FC 1-2 BFC Daugavpils in the Latvia - Virsliga on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Riga FC vs BFC Daugavpils?
Before kick-off our model rated a Riga FC win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Riga FC 69%, draw 18%, BFC Daugavpils 13%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Riga FC), BTTS No went the other way.